Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 12.082140 13.576033 15.196025 17.085429 19.231291 21.595818 24.403042
2025-03-23 9.852925 11.880555 14.251805 17.238786 20.913864 25.304178 30.970958
2025-03-30 8.122487 10.396752 13.232928 17.050381 22.085872 28.544288 37.524803
2025-04-06 6.734387 9.072988 12.155385 16.550558 22.713612 31.132171 43.646445
2025-04-13 5.741337 8.089978 11.340040 16.217548 23.441348 33.885783 50.385278
2025-04-20 5.171826 7.592460 11.095129 16.606351 25.195197 38.293649 60.213515
2025-04-27 4.733803 7.213198 10.950015 17.090727 27.122145 43.200030 71.603598
2025-05-04 4.310241 6.792046 10.672795 17.307243 28.623040 47.609866 82.885009
2025-05-11 3.845468 6.243017 10.116990 16.978638 29.145806 50.427055 91.826190
2025-05-18 3.462845 5.779166 9.637582 16.701396 29.692343 53.322871 101.346325
2025-05-25 3.141568 5.379636 9.215300 16.458963 30.247345 56.279164 111.439189
2025-06-01 2.881713 5.056319 8.885213 16.333397 30.986513 59.659951 122.927084
2025-06-08 2.646843 4.759033 8.580348 16.239426 31.820243 63.443497 136.178905
2025-06-15 2.519326 4.644822 8.599184 16.773956 33.992547 70.299860 157.538852
2025-06-22 2.343446 4.420171 8.383413 16.811810 35.141614 75.180064 175.375241
2025-06-29 2.141345 4.123268 7.994052 16.441147 35.357779 78.041820 188.954284
2025-07-06 1.973331 3.876019 7.675814 16.177859 35.767470 81.393760 204.414810
2025-07-13 1.889112 3.789462 7.675378 16.604634 37.814593 88.926014 232.350892
2025-07-20 1.818447 3.723310 7.709512 17.111633 40.125136 97.484820 264.976631
2025-07-27 1.729577 3.609316 7.628278 17.341381 41.793453 104.702625 295.446087
2025-08-03 1.605050 3.405907 7.329702 17.019212 42.027599 108.212351 315.771392
2025-08-10 1.495551 3.225393 7.064306 16.745201 42.347849 112.011348 337.872504
2025-08-17 1.398055 3.062861 6.823904 16.504265 42.722730 116.030314 361.635451